GDL 8 Draft numbers analysis

[smozoma]

Sort of a running commentary while I record the draft picks in my spreadsheet... Just pointing out some anomalies

When talking about average/medians/standard deviations I am only considering the previous 5 seasons (GDL3-7)

ROUND 1

1.1 Jeremy Roenick

big surprise there

History: 3,4,1,2, 1,1,1,1

1.2 Steve Yzerman

taken 2nd overall for the second time. Can you believe he went 13th in GDL 2!? He hasn't been outside the top 4 since then.

1.3 Alexnder Mogilny

his highest draft position since GDL1.

...

1.8 Patrick Roy

Hasn't gone this low since he went 9th in GDL2. He was 2nd last season. Looks like people are betting on offence this year?

1.9 Mike Modano

First time he's broken into single digits (he was 10th last season)

..

1.11 Ed Belfour

Never gone below 8th (GDL6 and GDL7)

1.12 Mike Gartner

Other than Roenick, Gartner has the most consistent draft position of any player (if GDL1 is ignored) with a standard deviation of 1.50 spots around his average of 11.8). History: 25,12,12,14, 9,12,11,12

...

1.14 Cliff Ronning

Highest draft position ever for Ronning.

History: 62,55,40,24, 17,23,18,14. You can see how appreciation of the weight bug has affected his draft position after the 3rd season.

1.18 Don Sweeney

First defenseman taken. Actually the latest he's been taken in the past 3 seasons (17th and 16th the previous two years)

Compared to their median draft spots:

("median" is sort of similar to the average, except you just take the middle number.. so the median of 1,3,2,5,4 is 3)

5 of 22 players were drafted at their median spot!

6 of 22 players were drafted 1 later than their median, so half the players were from 0 to +1.

Big Falls (steals?):

Belfour +4, 7->11

Roy +3, 5->8

Sakic +3, 10->13

Big Jumps (could have traded for him and gotten something a bit extra?)

Ronning -9, 23->14 (although if you ignore GDL3, he's just -6.5)

Bradley -7, 29->22

Fleury -5, 11->6