kingraph Posted October 27, 2011 Report Share Posted October 27, 2011 (edited) Without going into too much detail, I used the same premise as my classic Team Rankings analysis to come up with these rankings. Things I changed: Checking Ability substituted for Weight in player ranks Normalized F/D to 100 Goalie weight from 6 to 3 in overall team ranking. Strong goalies are more important for less skilled players, and Blitz has a much higher skill level than classic overall With the use of checking + weight to determine check ability, Ray Bourque becomes by far the best individual player in Blitz. Set at 100, the next rated player is Mogilny/Lemiuex at 90 . Again, this is only one opinion, one analysis, presented here for fun and discussion. (Although, I can't imagine a realistic scenario where Bourque isn't #1). I sorted the list by overall team and I included a few different ratings so you can get a sense of what the team strengths are - forwards, defense, goalie, etc. The first section is the team ratings, the other section is how those ratings rank. Ratings Team Team Owner Lg Overall Start5 5+G 3Fwd 2Def 4Fwd 3Def G TOR smozoma A 78 77 80 80 68 78 66 98 NYR BoKnowsNHL94 A 77 76 79 78 72 76 70 92 N.J mcarthurbsu33 B 76 80 77 75 93 75 86 65 EDM danlizhot2010 B 76 78 77 81 71 79 68 74 L.A dcicon5148 B 76 76 77 76 76 75 74 83 PIT PerennialChoker A 76 79 78 82 72 80 68 70 CHI Zalex1414 A 75 75 77 80 63 78 62 85 ANH canadiensfan66 A 75 78 76 81 70 80 67 68 CGY Rage93 B 74 76 75 75 76 75 73 74 TB skoolyardpuck A 74 76 76 80 67 78 65 73 BUF Icestorm NHL94 A 74 78 76 77 80 75 76 67 S.J Houlanov B 74 77 75 76 77 76 74 65 QUE Terrapin4J B 73 75 74 78 67 77 66 70 NYI angryjay93 A 73 73 74 73 72 73 69 81 PHI snoboarder3211 A 73 73 74 75 67 74 66 79 HFD donnybrook B 73 74 74 74 73 73 70 75 WPG chris1knights@ B 72 72 74 71 77 70 73 81 OTT xdeathsbloodx B 72 76 73 76 74 76 71 61 STL Iceguy94 A 72 74 73 73 77 73 75 67 BOS Pearate B 72 68 73 71 63 70 62 94 MTL Freydey32 A 71 75 72 75 75 74 72 59 VAN hokkeefan2 B 71 75 72 77 70 76 68 59 DET sebe82 A 71 72 72 74 68 73 66 70 DAL KingRaph B 71 73 72 75 67 74 66 67 Ranks Team Owner League Team Start5 5+G 3Fwd 2Def 4Fwd 3Def G TOR smozoma A 1 7 1 5 18 6 21 1 NYR BoKnowsNHL94 A 2 9 2 8 13 8 11 3 N.J mcarthurbsu33 B 3 1 4 15 1 14 1 20 EDM danlizhot2010 B 4 3 5 3 14 3 13 10 L.A dcicon5148 B 5 10 6 13 6 15 4 5 PIT PerennialChoker A 6 2 3 1 11 1 14 13 CHI Zalex1414 A 7 13 7 4 23 5 23 4 ANH canadiensfan66 A 8 4 8 2 16 2 16 16 CGY Rage93 B 9 12 11 14 7 13 7 10 TB skoolyardpuck A 10 8 10 6 19 4 22 12 BUF Icestorm NHL94 A 11 5 9 9 2 12 2 17 S.J Houlanov B 12 6 12 11 3 10 5 20 QUE Terrapin4J B 13 15 13 7 22 7 20 13 NYI angryjay93 A 14 21 14 22 12 21 12 6 PHI snoboarder3211 A 15 19 15 17 20 16 17 8 HFD donnybrook B 16 18 16 20 10 20 10 9 WPG chris1knights@ B 17 23 17 23 5 24 6 6 OTT xdeathsbloodx B 18 11 18 12 9 11 9 22 STL Iceguy94 A 19 17 19 21 4 22 3 17 BOS Pearate B 20 24 20 24 24 23 24 2 MTL Freydey32 A 21 16 22 16 8 17 8 23 VAN hokkeefan2 B 22 14 21 10 15 9 15 23 DET sebe82 A 23 22 23 19 17 19 19 13 DAL KingRaph B 24 20 24 18 21 18 18 17 Notes: Weights assigned to players: 1F - 6 2F - 3 3F - 2 4F - 1 1D - 3 2D - 1 3D - 1 1G - 6 The 5F,6F,4D,2G are not used in this analysis. Rankings Key (weights above used): Overall: 1-4F, 1-3D, G Start5: 1-3F, 1-2D 5+G: 1-3F, 1-2D,G 3Fwd: 1-3F 2Def: 1-2D 4Fwd: 1-4F 3Def: 1-3D G: G Edited October 27, 2011 by kingraph Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smozoma Posted October 27, 2011 Report Share Posted October 27, 2011 Cool, thanks. My team is definitely crazy good. If I don't make the playoffs, I'm definitely moving down to B! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingraph Posted October 27, 2011 Author Report Share Posted October 27, 2011 (edited) Cool, thanks. My team is definitely crazy good. If I don't make the playoffs, I'm definitely moving down to B! Apparently my team is crazy bad! Not really -- I think the beauty of a draft league is that all of these teams are competitive. FYI, here are the top 3 ranked lineups for forwards, defense, and starting lineup. FORWARDS PIT ANH EDM F1 Mario Lemieux 90 Mike Gartner 84 Alexnder Mogilny 90 F2 Joe Sakic 75 Esa Tikkanen 83 Geoff Courtnall 70 F3 Pelle Eklund 69 Mike Ridley 70 Paul Ysebaert 68 Defensemen NJ BUF SJ D1 Ray Bourque 100 Scott Stevens 81 Zarley Zalapski 79 D2 Al MacInnis 72 Steve Smith 76 Ulf Samuelsson 71 Starting Lineup TOR NYR PIT F1 Teemu Selanne 85 Eric Lindros 82 Mario Lemieux 90 F2 Petr Klima 76 Stephane Richer 74 Joe Sakic 75 F3 Steve Thomas 68 Shayne Corson 69 Pelle Eklund 69 D1 Alexei Kasatonov 71 James Patrick 74 Larry Murphy 74 D2 Garth Butcher 59 Richard Smehlik 65 Mark Tinordi 66 G Ed Belfour 98 Grant Fuhr 92 Mike Vernon 70 Average & Standard Deviation Fwd Avg Std Dev 1-24 81 3.6 1-48 77 4.8 1-72 74 5.6 1-96 72 6.3 ALL 68 8.0 Defense Avg Std Dev 1-24 76 6.4 1-48 70 7.2 1-72 67 8.0 All 64 8.9 Non-G Avg Std Dev 1-24 83 4.7 1-48 79 4.8 1-72 77 5.3 1-96 75 5.8 All 66 8.6 Edited October 27, 2011 by kingraph Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angryjay93 Posted October 27, 2011 Report Share Posted October 27, 2011 Would you mind showing the mathematical equation you used to get Bourque as 100? i cant seem to figure it out on my own. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingraph Posted October 27, 2011 Author Report Share Posted October 27, 2011 (edited) Would you mind showing the mathematical equation you used to get Bourque as 100? i cant seem to figure it out on my own. Sure. Using Smozoma's Blitz Spreadsheet, use these weights on the "formulas" sheet: Defense BiasD 0.00 ScaleD 0.61 WgtD 5.00 AgiD 3.13 SpdD 3.75 OfAD 1.25 DfAD 3.88 ShPD 2.88 CkD 1.88 StHD 3.38 ShAD 2.13 EndD 0.00 RghD 0.00 PasD 3.50 AgrD 0.00 EDIT: The references are off from Smoz' original sheet, I forgot I added columns. You can refer to my spreadsheet download below. The other change I made was to the formula in the "All" sheet. I change the reference from Wgt (Column L) to Check Ability (Column AB). This is because in classic (my original analysis), weight was the determining checking factor, whereas in Blitz we use Check Ability. I also divide the value by 2 since the values (~3 to ~14) are roughly double every other value (1-6). Same for forwards. Ray Bourque is in row 37, so the formula in K37 should read: =BiasD+ScaleD*((WgtD/2)*AB37+AgiD*M37+SpdD*N37+OfAD*O37+DfAD*P37+ShPD*Q37+CkD*R37+StHD*T37+ShAD*U37+EndD*V37+RghD*W37+PasD*X37+AgrD*Y37) That should get you to 100. FYI, the forward weights used are: BiasF 0.00 ScaleF 0.61 WgtF 4.27 AgiF 3.42 SpdF 6.83 OfAF 0.85 DfAF 0.85 ShPF 5.98 CkF 0.85 StHF 2.56 ShAF 2.56 EndF 0.00 RghF 0.00 PasF 2.56 AgrF 0.00 You can download my spreadsheet here and save yourself the trouble : http://dl.dropbox.com/u/10816388/blitz06%20draft%20and%20teams%20%28rankings%29.xlsx Edited October 27, 2011 by kingraph Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingraph Posted October 27, 2011 Author Report Share Posted October 27, 2011 For anyone downloading the spreadsheet, it's a bit of a mess (I never intended it to be used by anyone other than me) but here are some tips to come up with your own ratings: 1. You can input any weights to the attributes that you prefer in the "All" sheet. I suggest making sure the total number for Forwards and Defense is the same. 2. You can change the weights used for each F1, F2, etc. in the "Ratings" sheet on Row 31 (B-I). 3. Refresh the "unique pivot" pivot table. 4. Look at the "Blitz 06 Owners" tab and you will find your new rankings 5. If you want to normalize to 100, take the top rated guy from the "Pivot" sheet, and use (=100/player overall rating). Apply that figure to the "Scale" in "All", assuming it was originally set to 1. Ugh, hope that makes sense. If people find this useful, I can easily clean it up and make a more user-friendly spreadsheet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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