kingraph

I got it work last night, played exhibs. Long story short, I downloaded GENS again to get a "fresh" copy and the ROM worked. Don't ask me what that means or why it worked, but it did. Lol.

I'll play, assuming I can get it to work, NYR back!

Hmm, will try again later tonight.

Jeez, that sucks. Feel better dude.

Has anyone got this to work? My screen just stays black when I load the ROM

Game 1: TB 4 @ CHI 10 Game 2: TB 5 @ CHI 0 Game 3: CHI 2 @ TB 5 Game 4: CHI 3 @ TB 0 Series tied 2-2. Ggs so far, we'll finish up our series sometime next weekend.

Great write up! Was like reading a news piece from Bobby McSticks, beat writer for NHL'94. Lol. Also sounds like all the games were close hard hitting battles. Congrats on a great season Robbie, and congrats to smoz on the victory.

I know we got our series in already hokkee, but for the other coaches -- I should be available throughout the weekend. Let us know your availability!

For anyone downloading the spreadsheet, it's a bit of a mess (I never intended it to be used by anyone other than me) but here are some tips to come up with your own ratings: 1. You can input any weights to the attributes that you prefer in the "All" sheet. I suggest making sure the total number for Forwards and Defense is the same. 2. You can change the weights used for each F1, F2, etc. in the "Ratings" sheet on Row 31 (B-I). 3. Refresh the "unique pivot" pivot table. 4. Look at the "Blitz 06 Owners" tab and you will find your new rankings 5. If you want to normalize to 100, take the top rated guy from the "Pivot" sheet, and use (=100/player overall rating). Apply that figure to the "Scale" in "All", assuming it was originally set to 1. Ugh, hope that makes sense. If people find this useful, I can easily clean it up and make a more user-friendly spreadsheet.

Sure. Using Smozoma's Blitz Spreadsheet, use these weights on the "formulas" sheet: Defense BiasD 0.00 ScaleD 0.61 WgtD 5.00 AgiD 3.13 SpdD 3.75 OfAD 1.25 DfAD 3.88 ShPD 2.88 CkD 1.88 StHD 3.38 ShAD 2.13 EndD 0.00 RghD 0.00 PasD 3.50 AgrD 0.00 EDIT: The references are off from Smoz' original sheet, I forgot I added columns. You can refer to my spreadsheet download below. The other change I made was to the formula in the "All" sheet. I change the reference from Wgt (Column L) to Check Ability (Column AB). This is because in classic (my original analysis), weight was the determining checking factor, whereas in Blitz we use Check Ability. I also divide the value by 2 since the values (~3 to ~14) are roughly double every other value (1-6). Same for forwards. Ray Bourque is in row 37, so the formula in K37 should read: =BiasD+ScaleD*((WgtD/2)*AB37+AgiD*M37+SpdD*N37+OfAD*O37+DfAD*P37+ShPD*Q37+CkD*R37+StHD*T37+ShAD*U37+EndD*V37+RghD*W37+PasD*X37+AgrD*Y37) That should get you to 100. FYI, the forward weights used are: BiasF 0.00 ScaleF 0.61 WgtF 4.27 AgiF 3.42 SpdF 6.83 OfAF 0.85 DfAF 0.85 ShPF 5.98 CkF 0.85 StHF 2.56 ShAF 2.56 EndF 0.00 RghF 0.00 PasF 2.56 AgrF 0.00 You can download my spreadsheet here and save yourself the trouble : http://dl.dropbox.com/u/10816388/blitz06%20draft%20and%20teams%20%28rankings%29.xlsx

Apparently my team is crazy bad! Not really -- I think the beauty of a draft league is that all of these teams are competitive. FYI, here are the top 3 ranked lineups for forwards, defense, and starting lineup. FORWARDS PIT ANH EDM F1 Mario Lemieux 90 Mike Gartner 84 Alexnder Mogilny 90 F2 Joe Sakic 75 Esa Tikkanen 83 Geoff Courtnall 70 F3 Pelle Eklund 69 Mike Ridley 70 Paul Ysebaert 68 Defensemen NJ BUF SJ D1 Ray Bourque 100 Scott Stevens 81 Zarley Zalapski 79 D2 Al MacInnis 72 Steve Smith 76 Ulf Samuelsson 71 Starting Lineup TOR NYR PIT F1 Teemu Selanne 85 Eric Lindros 82 Mario Lemieux 90 F2 Petr Klima 76 Stephane Richer 74 Joe Sakic 75 F3 Steve Thomas 68 Shayne Corson 69 Pelle Eklund 69 D1 Alexei Kasatonov 71 James Patrick 74 Larry Murphy 74 D2 Garth Butcher 59 Richard Smehlik 65 Mark Tinordi 66 G Ed Belfour 98 Grant Fuhr 92 Mike Vernon 70 Average & Standard Deviation Fwd Avg Std Dev 1-24 81 3.6 1-48 77 4.8 1-72 74 5.6 1-96 72 6.3 ALL 68 8.0 Defense Avg Std Dev 1-24 76 6.4 1-48 70 7.2 1-72 67 8.0 All 64 8.9 Non-G Avg Std Dev 1-24 83 4.7 1-48 79 4.8 1-72 77 5.3 1-96 75 5.8 All 66 8.6

Without going into too much detail, I used the same premise as my classic Team Rankings analysis to come up with these rankings. Things I changed: Checking Ability substituted for Weight in player ranks Normalized F/D to 100 Goalie weight from 6 to 3 in overall team ranking. Strong goalies are more important for less skilled players, and Blitz has a much higher skill level than classic overall With the use of checking + weight to determine check ability, Ray Bourque becomes by far the best individual player in Blitz. Set at 100, the next rated player is Mogilny/Lemiuex at 90 . Again, this is only one opinion, one analysis, presented here for fun and discussion. (Although, I can't imagine a realistic scenario where Bourque isn't #1). I sorted the list by overall team and I included a few different ratings so you can get a sense of what the team strengths are - forwards, defense, goalie, etc. The first section is the team ratings, the other section is how those ratings rank. Ratings Team Team Owner Lg Overall Start5 5+G 3Fwd 2Def 4Fwd 3Def G TOR smozoma A 78 77 80 80 68 78 66 98 NYR BoKnowsNHL94 A 77 76 79 78 72 76 70 92 N.J mcarthurbsu33 B 76 80 77 75 93 75 86 65 EDM danlizhot2010 B 76 78 77 81 71 79 68 74 L.A dcicon5148 B 76 76 77 76 76 75 74 83 PIT PerennialChoker A 76 79 78 82 72 80 68 70 CHI Zalex1414 A 75 75 77 80 63 78 62 85 ANH canadiensfan66 A 75 78 76 81 70 80 67 68 CGY Rage93 B 74 76 75 75 76 75 73 74 TB skoolyardpuck A 74 76 76 80 67 78 65 73 BUF Icestorm NHL94 A 74 78 76 77 80 75 76 67 S.J Houlanov B 74 77 75 76 77 76 74 65 QUE Terrapin4J B 73 75 74 78 67 77 66 70 NYI angryjay93 A 73 73 74 73 72 73 69 81 PHI snoboarder3211 A 73 73 74 75 67 74 66 79 HFD donnybrook B 73 74 74 74 73 73 70 75 WPG chris1knights@ B 72 72 74 71 77 70 73 81 OTT xdeathsbloodx B 72 76 73 76 74 76 71 61 STL Iceguy94 A 72 74 73 73 77 73 75 67 BOS Pearate B 72 68 73 71 63 70 62 94 MTL Freydey32 A 71 75 72 75 75 74 72 59 VAN hokkeefan2 B 71 75 72 77 70 76 68 59 DET sebe82 A 71 72 72 74 68 73 66 70 DAL KingRaph B 71 73 72 75 67 74 66 67 Ranks Team Owner League Team Start5 5+G 3Fwd 2Def 4Fwd 3Def G TOR smozoma A 1 7 1 5 18 6 21 1 NYR BoKnowsNHL94 A 2 9 2 8 13 8 11 3 N.J mcarthurbsu33 B 3 1 4 15 1 14 1 20 EDM danlizhot2010 B 4 3 5 3 14 3 13 10 L.A dcicon5148 B 5 10 6 13 6 15 4 5 PIT PerennialChoker A 6 2 3 1 11 1 14 13 CHI Zalex1414 A 7 13 7 4 23 5 23 4 ANH canadiensfan66 A 8 4 8 2 16 2 16 16 CGY Rage93 B 9 12 11 14 7 13 7 10 TB skoolyardpuck A 10 8 10 6 19 4 22 12 BUF Icestorm NHL94 A 11 5 9 9 2 12 2 17 S.J Houlanov B 12 6 12 11 3 10 5 20 QUE Terrapin4J B 13 15 13 7 22 7 20 13 NYI angryjay93 A 14 21 14 22 12 21 12 6 PHI snoboarder3211 A 15 19 15 17 20 16 17 8 HFD donnybrook B 16 18 16 20 10 20 10 9 WPG chris1knights@ B 17 23 17 23 5 24 6 6 OTT xdeathsbloodx B 18 11 18 12 9 11 9 22 STL Iceguy94 A 19 17 19 21 4 22 3 17 BOS Pearate B 20 24 20 24 24 23 24 2 MTL Freydey32 A 21 16 22 16 8 17 8 23 VAN hokkeefan2 B 22 14 21 10 15 9 15 23 DET sebe82 A 23 22 23 19 17 19 19 13 DAL KingRaph B 24 20 24 18 21 18 18 17 Notes: Weights assigned to players: 1F - 6 2F - 3 3F - 2 4F - 1 1D - 3 2D - 1 3D - 1 1G - 6 The 5F,6F,4D,2G are not used in this analysis. Rankings Key (weights above used): Overall: 1-4F, 1-3D, G Start5: 1-3F, 1-2D 5+G: 1-3F, 1-2D,G 3Fwd: 1-3F 2Def: 1-2D 4Fwd: 1-4F 3Def: 1-3D G: G

This is awesome...love the format & multiple betting options (4,5,6,7 games).

Cool, gotcha. I may come up with some team rankings that value weight/check ability, shot power, etc. more and awareness, endurance, etc. less, similar to what I did with my classic player rankings (i.e. value the attributes we care about). As you know the original formula values endurance (useless without line changes), gives Shot Power a 1, offensive awareness 3, weight is not factored. I will, of course, share any results I come up with.

How are the individual player ratings calculated? Is is based on the values set in the Blitz spreadsheet? Sorry if this has been covered before, I couldn't find anything via search.

Congrats to all and extra thanks to the ULTRA GRAND SUPREME ADMIN BUDS -- Halifax, Chaos, & Gretzkyonacold!

Game 1 TB 5 @ QUE 2 Game 2 TB 5 @ QUE 1 Game 3 QUE 4 @ TB 7 Game 4 QUE 0 @ TB 2 TB Wins Series 4-0. GGS

Been three years since the last post -- is this program still valid for Blitz 6?

3/4 again for the division (hit 3/4 in B as well)! HABS is the best gambler!

That formula makes sense, thanks. I need to get one of those "star" players, that would help.

You would be hard pressed to come up with an excuse that can top this. You had me at Aug 15. Nice comeback, btw, to make the playoffs!

I DID put my odds better than Sicarius, so I list myself as the favorite! lol. But I honestly think either of us will lose to Pearate in the subsequent matchup. Pearate took 2 of 3 from me in the regular season. Don't get me wrong, I still think I have a chance to beat him, but for odds purposes, I think it's right. I tried to incorporate the future matchups as well. So I think we (me or Sicarius) lose to Pearate, and he makes the final. On the other end, I think the CAL/DET and BUF/TOR series are each a coin-flip, and those coin flips will face each other, which at this point I would consider a coin flip as well! So either of those 4 teams, in my opinion, has a 3-1 (+300) shot to make the final, then matchup with Pearate. I gave better odds to the more experienced coaches, just to have some diversity. That was my thinking on coming up with these odds. EDIT: I just noticed I wrote "will not be a tough series" -- I meant WILL BE. I originally had "will not be easy", corrected it, but messed up. lol, fixed the original post.

Yeah, I didn't think my team was as strong as others, however, after a full classic season with TB, they feel like all-stars! Does your team rating formula calculate all 12 players? It'd be interesting to see what the ratings are for the assumed starting 5 + G. I don't feel depth is that important, especially after the 1st D, but I could be wrong.

Chi needed 7. I agree that CAL/DET goes 7, coin-flip for me. BUF/TOR goes 7 as well, coin-flip. TB/QUE goes 7. You guessed it... Coin flip. Yes, I know, pretty bold predictions. I love how open this will be.

The season is over and all games played! (applause) Original odds and winners (in bold): ODDS TO WIN DIVISION Patrick Detroit – kupuck -150 NY Islanders – Houly +300 Tampa Bay – Kingraph +650 Adams Buffalo – gretzkyonacold -110 Boston - egorde +200 Edmonton – robro +500 Smythe Toronto – Smozoma -110 Quebec -Logan +250 Chicago – Pearate +250 Norris Calgary - eggink444 -110 Winnipeg - dan_lizhot +350 Dallas – cory +350 Great regular season! Aside from the disappearance of cory for the last 9 and the Houly debacle at the start of the season, there were no real problems or arguments. The replacement of Logan late was unfortunate, but necessary and understood by all parties. Keep them mods happy! Sorry PRoBob, house takes your $17. However, you definitely had a great season! Payouts: Kupuck - $166.67 egorde - ($100.00) Pearate - $350.00 eggink - $190.91 Total $607.58 on your $400 bet and you still have Pearate @ +800 to win cup! Nice bets, you are putting your sportbook competition out of business. Assuming the cup...still alive. UPDATED ODDS TO WIN GENS B CUP (note: Pearate/Dan series already played, Pearate winning in 7) Chicago – Pearate +200 (he's in the conference final, has to face KingRaph (TB) or Sicarius Fulger (QUE), good matchups either way, should he in final) Toronto – Smozoma +425 (lost 2 of 3 to Gretzkyonacold (BUF) in regular season, will be a tough series to move on. Can experience prove to be the difference?) Detroit – kupuck +450 (DET took the series against CAL 2-1, but close games. Another great matchup!) Calgary - eggink444 +500 (Has to face kupuck and DET, who finished with the 2nd best record in the league. If he can squeeze by, the road to the cup can be had) Buffalo – gretzkyonacold +550 (should be a tough, good defensive matchup with Smozoma (TOR), followed by DET/CAL offensive matchup! Followed by (most likely) CHI. Hard draw, for sure) Tampa Bay – Kingraph +600 (If he manages to get past Sicarious, he won't have enough firepower to beat Roenick, Belfour & Co. that follow) Quebec – Sicarius Fulger +650 (KingRaph will be a tough first series, and past that CHI lies waiting)